West vs East: Chinese Electric Vehicles "Challenge" Automotive Market of Western Countries and Could Double Their Sales by the End of the Decade

West vs East: Chinese Electric Vehicles “Challenge” Automotive Market of Western Countries and Could Double Their Sales by the End of the Decade

Written by Roberta Souza

Published on 07/09/2023 at 20:14

Foto: reprodução pixabay.com

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UBS Analysts Forecast Significant Decline in Market Share of Western Electric Vehicle Manufacturers as BYD and Other Chinese Companies Gain Ground

A revolution in the global vehicle market is on the horizon, with Chinese manufacturers, led by BYD, ready to challenge Western dominance in the electric vehicle sector. UBS analysts state that these companies are poised to nearly double their market share to an impressive 33% by the end of the decade, according to Bloomberg Línea.

The Unstoppable Growth of Chinese Electric Vehicles

Chinese manufacturers, including names like Nio and Xpeng, have increased their presence in the global automotive industry, showcasing their offerings at the IAA auto show in Munich. While German giants like Mercedes-Benz and BMW presented their future electric vehicles, they will not hit the market until 2025.

Patrick Hummel, an analyst at UBS, points out that “the global automotive industry will go through seismic changes in the next 10 years or more.” UBS forecasts suggest that the global market share of Western manufacturers will decline from 81% to 58% by 2030, while Tesla’s share is expected to rise to 8%, up from 2%.

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BYD’s Cost Advantage

BYD, China’s largest automotive brand, has a cost advantage of 25% over North American and European brands. This allows the Shenzhen-based company to offer more competitive prices, especially as it expands its global presence.

An analysis by UBS of a 2022 BYD Seal sedan found that 75% of the components are made locally, double the global average. This supply chain advantage is one of the key reasons behind BYD’s success. Additionally, BYD produces its own batteries and semiconductors, contributing to a cost advantage of 15% compared to the Tesla Model 3 manufactured in China and over 30% compared to Volkswagen AG’s ID.3.

BYD also surpassed Volkswagen as the best-selling car brand in China in early 2023, further solidifying its market position.

Challenges for Western Companies

UBS forecasts also suggest that Chinese automakers are unlikely to expand significantly in the United States, Japan, South Korea, and India, where domestic competitors have a strong presence. However, companies like BMW, VW, and Mercedes are accelerating their transition to electric vehicles to face this changing competitive landscape.

BMW, for example, showcased a prototype of its electric car, the Neue Klasse, at the IAA, featuring functionalities that Chinese consumers expect, such as voice and gesture controls. BMW is determined to compete with Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers.

Yale Zhang, managing director of the consultancy Automotive Foresight, comments: “Luxury German brands’ electric vehicle sales in China lead BMW over Mercedes-Benz and Audi.”

West vs East: Chinese Electric Vehicles “Challenge” Automotive Market of Western Countries and Could Double Their Sales by the End of the Decade

UBS Analysts Forecast Significant Decline in Market Share of Western Electric Vehicle Manufacturers as BYD and Other Chinese Companies Gain Ground

The Unstoppable Growth of Chinese Electric Vehicles

BYD’s Cost Advantage

Challenges for Western Companies

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West vs East: Chinese Electric Vehicles “Challenge” Automotive Market of Western Countries and Could Double Their Sales by the End of the Decade

UBS Analysts Forecast Significant Decline in Market Share of Western Electric Vehicle Manufacturers as BYD and Other Chinese Companies Gain Ground

The Unstoppable Growth of Chinese Electric Vehicles

BYD’s Cost Advantage

Challenges for Western Companies

With billions in loans, China is rebuilding Nigeria’s railway network from scratch, abandoning the British colonial tracks that have turned to scrap and creating a corridor of over 1,300 km to take the load off the roads of Africa’s largest economy.

A British company has installed in the middle of the ocean the world’s first floating platform that generates electricity 24 hours a day from the temperature difference between the surface and the depths of the Atlantic, without relying on wind or sun.

China is building an artificial island in the middle of the sea, covering 20 km², to construct the largest offshore airport in the world, the Dalian Jinzhouwan. This $4.3 billion project is anchored on more than 3,000 pillars embedded in the rock beneath the ocean and is scheduled to open in 2035.

Forget petroleum-based asphalt: a Scottish company transforms 684,000 plastic bottles into one kilometer of road that is 60% more resistant and up to 10 times more durable, and the technology has already started replacing traditional asphalt in more than 30 countries.

A robot named Walter does the work of five bricklayers per hour and can save the construction industry, where the average age of professionals is 46 years and almost no one wants to learn the trade anymore, in the United Kingdom.

Austrian engineers have developed an inflatable concrete technology that transforms flat slabs into domes using only air pressure, eliminating scaffolding and temporary forms, and potentially changing the way bridges, tunnels, and curved roofs are constructed worldwide.

The James Webb telescope spotted a planet 700 light-years from Earth with mornings full of sand clouds and nights with clear skies, the temperature difference between the two hemispheres reaches an impressive 170 degrees.

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