Pressure on Fuel Prices Increases on the Eve of the 2nd Round. Petrobras Maintains Prices at Its Refineries Since September 2 for Gasoline and Since September 20 for Diesel.
Even with the price of diesel and oil facing strong pressure and rising in the international market, Petrobras keeps the fuel price lagging behind international parity, points out Abicon.
According to information from S&P Global Commodity Insights, refining margins in the Atlantic Basin, where the Brazilian market is located, have risen in recent weeks. This represents an increase in diesel and oil prices, reinforcing the pressure on fuel, on the eve of the 2nd round of the presidential elections in Brazil.
Refinery Strike in France and the Reduction of US Stocks Impact Refining Margins
The refinery strike in France and the reduction of US stocks have significantly contributed to the supply, as demand is expected to increase due to the approaching winter in the Northern Hemisphere.
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The rise in oil prices puts Brazil in a strategic advantage and projects a trade surplus of US$ 90 billion, boosting exports and creating a highly favorable and unexpected economic scenario.
By and large, the oil derivatives imported by Brazil come from the Atlantic coast of the US, where the crack spread (refining margin, measured by the difference between the price of the derivative and that of crude oil) rose last week to US$ 30.69 per barrel, representing a 14% increase from the previous week.
According to hEDGEpoint Global Markets, to try to match the warming European demand, US refineries have been striving to exceed their diesel production.
“American diesel supply reached the highest level in the last five years for this time of year. However, exports are high, and stocks have fallen to dangerously low levels. Diesel prices in the US and Europe have skyrocketed, and winter has not even started,” notes Energy and Macroeconomics analyst, Heitor Paiva.
Gasoline and Diesel Prices Lagging in Brazil
The Brazilian Association of Fuel Importers (Abicom), states that for Petrobras to maintain parity with the international market, it would be necessary for the state-owned company to increase the price of diesel by 70 cents per liter. The deficit for gasoline was 18 cents (5%).
It is worth noting that Petrobras has not changed the price of gasoline for almost two months and diesel for 30 days, maintaining the same values at its refineries since September 2 for gasoline and since September 20 for diesel.

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